I read somewhere on the Internets that a 1 point increase yields a 5% torque gain. So would 3 more ft-lbs be enough? I think it might be close. As many have already said, true parity will never exist in SM. The real measure can only be done in races, e.g. can a pass can be executed with a good draft, etc.
Unfortunately, CR vs. efficiency isn't linear. See FIgure 24 below. I've got MIT/Taylor's text in front of me, and I'm getting 1.7% THEORETICAL gain going from 9.4 to 9.9 CR.
http://naca.central....-report-205.pdf
With every automaker willing to kill their Mom and bolt on turbos and 9-speed transmissions to try to meet the new 54.5 MPG bogey, I can assure you if there was a 5% efficiency gain in CR just laying there for the taking, there would be no 87 octaine. We'd all be running 93+ and getting 5% better MPG?
In contrast, see Fig 3 in the below. It's a little complicated, but it is a FIAT tech paper that basically shows that 50 degrees F of intake air temperature is worth ~3.5%. It also indicates that the SAE dyno correction factor we know/love is a bit harsher than reality, compared to actual vehicle testing. (I'm a skeptic, though, so I'm assuming FIAT's engines just make crappy numbers on SAE dynos and this whole thing was a trumped up study commissioned by the Pope).
http://www.scielo.br.../v25n3/a10v25n3
FIAT's bias aside, the point here is that the SAE Correction factor itself is a somewhat valid indicator how much intake air temperature matters. Plus, "we" already have data showing that the 1.6 is sucking 50+ degrees hotter air than the NBs. Don't take my word for it,
The voting should go like this:
Joe 1.6 Frontrunner (does this guy stiull exist, lol?): Vote for ITA engine rules, make a custom intake to lower IAT under today's rules
Joe Engine Builder: Vote to scrap existing heads and make ITA engine rules legal
Joe Cheapskate/Lazyass: Vote for weight and RP changes, and a cold air intake provision
I have no plans whatsoever to profit from any of the above.